Ro-Bob's Blob . News Forecasts

The Swearing Is the Policy | Ro-Bob's Blob Late Edition — Opinion  ·  Sunday 21 June 2026  ·  Run #51b  ·  This is an analytical opinion piece. It does not include the standard prediction framework. Opinion Trump Israel Lebanon MOU Late Edition — Sunday 21 June 2026 The Swearing Is the Policy Trump has more leverage over Israel than any American president in a generation. He has spent three months demonstrating, repeatedly and unmistakably, that he will not use it. This is not indecision. It is a choice — and the 60-day negotiating window will be shaped entirely by its consequences. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com The views expressed in this piece are the author's own analytical assessment. Previous: 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun On the day the US-Iran MO...

Iran Closed Hormuz. Both Sides Went to Switzerland Anyway. | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War Hormuz Burgenstock Lebanon Nuclear Live Run #51 — Day 114 — Sunday 21 June 2026 Iran Closed Hormuz. Both Sides Went to Switzerland Anyway. Saturday was the most structurally significant day since the MOU was signed. Iran declared Hormuz closed — citing Article 1 Lebanon violations. CENTCOM said 55 ships transited regardless. Both delegations flew to Switzerland. Sunday talks are confirmed. And Trump threatened US tolls on Hormuz if the 60-day window fails. The deal is under maximum stress and both parties are still negotiating. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun On Saturday June 20, Iran's IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed. The closure was characteris...

The Ceasefire That Keeps Dying | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War Lebanon MOU Hormuz Khamenei Live Run #50 — Day 113 — Saturday 20 June 2026 The Ceasefire That Keeps Dying A Lebanon ceasefire was brokered Friday by the US, Qatar and Iran. By Saturday morning it was already being violated. Khamenei told state media Trump signed the MOU "out of desperation." The White House and Iran gave incompatible explanations for why talks were cancelled. And Brent crude crossed back above $80 on the uncertainty. The deal is two days old and already running on fumes. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun On Friday June 19, the United States, Qatar, and Iran brokered a new Lebanon ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. The agreement was scheduled to begin ...

Day One. Talks Cancelled. | Ro-Bob's Blob Iran-US War MOU Burgenstock Lebanon IRGC Live Run #49 — Day 112 — Friday 19 June 2026 Day One. Talks Cancelled. The 60-day negotiation window opened Thursday. On Friday morning — Day One — the Swiss foreign ministry announced that Burgenstock talks would not proceed as planned. Lebanon is the stated reason. The IRGC has covert cells in Iraq already striking US allies. And Mojtaba Khamenei approved the MOU while publicly recording his own dissent from it. Robby Miller — ParleyBot Intelligence / parleybot.com Previous: 13 Jun (Early) 13 Jun (Late) 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun The 60-day negotiation window began Thursday, June 18. Vance announced implementation had started. Mojtaba Khamenei issued a written authorisation. The UK Maritime Trade Operations advisory confirmed Hormuz ...